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First-Round Projection Feb. 8
The Senior Bowl and Super Bowl have both come and gone, which means it's time to update my projections for the first round of the NFL draft.
Utah quarterback Alex Smith still looks like the No. 1 pick, but there are some new entries on the list. Washington offensive tackle Khalif Barnes, Troy outside linebacker Demarcus Ware and Georgia wide receiver Reggie Brown have all worked their way into the first round while LSU defensive end Marcus Spears makes his debut all the way up at No. 10.
In all, there are 11 underclassmen among my first 32 picks, including a pair of third-year sophomores. Auburn and Oklahoma each have three players on the list -- including two of the top 10 for the Tigers -- while Texas, USC, Florida State and Wisconsin all have two players on my firsr-round board.
Here's how they fall into order:
2. Miami Dolphins: Cedric Benson, RB, Texas 3. Cleveland Browns: Aaron Rodgers (jr.), QB, California 4. Chicago Bears: Braylon Edwards, WR, Michigan 5. Tampa Bay Buccaneers: Carnell Williams, RB, Auburn 6. Tennessee Titans: Adam Jones, CB, West Virginia 7. Oakland Raiders: Dan Cody, DE, Oklahoma 8. Arizona Cardinals: Ronnie Brown, RB, Auburn 9. Washington Redskins: Mike Williams (jr.), WR, USC 10. Detroit Lions: Marcus Spears, DE, LSU 11. Dallas Cowboys: Travis Johnson, DT, Florida State 12. San Diego Chargers (from NYG): Derrick Johnson, OLB, Texas 13. Houston Texans: Troy Williamson (jr.), WR, South Carolina 14. Carolina Panthers: Alex Barron, OT, Florida State 15. Kansas City Chiefs: Shawne Merriman (jr.), DE/OLB, Maryland 16. New Orleans Saints: Brodney Pool (jr.), S, Oklahoma 17. Cincinnati Bengals: Roddy White, WR, UAB 18. Minnesota Vikings: Shaun Cody, DL, USC 19. St. Louis Rams: Erasmus James, DE, Wisconsin 20. Dallas Cowboys (from BUF): Antrell Rolle, CB, Miami 21. Jacksonville Jaguars: Khalif Barnes, OT, Washington 22. Baltimore Ravens: Mark Clayton, WR, Oklahoma 23. Seattle Seahawks: Matt Roth, DE, Iowa 24. Green Bay Packers: Thomas Davis (jr.), OLB, Georgia 25. Denver Broncos: Demarcus Ware, OLB, Troy 26. New York Jets: Carlos Rogers, CB, Auburn 27. Atlanta Falcons: Brandon Browner (so.), CB, Oregon State 28. San Diego Chargers: Roscoe Parrish (jr.), WR, Miami 29. Indianapolis Colts: Anttaj Hawthorne, DT, Wisconsin 30. Pittsburgh Steelers: Heath Miller (jr.), TE, Virginia 31. Philadelphia Eagles: Reggie Brown, WR, Georgia 32. New England Patriots: Channing Crowder (so.), MLB, Florida
1. San Francisco 49ers: Alex Smith (jr.), QB, Utah
A smart player who will pick up an NFL system quickly, Smith has good size, is mobile enough to hurt teams with his running ability and is also an efficient passer who can make all the necessary throws.
A strong, tough runner with good speed for his size, Benson would help fill the void left by the retirement of Ricky Williams. But there is speculation the Dolphins will attempt to fill their running back need through trade, perhaps for Buffalo's Travis Henry, so stay tuned.
Rodgers is a smart, accurate passer with a quick release. His arm strength is adequate and he is a better prospect at this point in his career than former Cal QB Kyle Boller, now the starter for the Baltimore Ravens.
Edwards has the size, speed and athleticism to take over games, and he did that several times in 2004. He also significantly cut down on dropped passes and concentration lapses this past season, pushing his stock even higher.
A creative, deceptive runner with tremendous natural skills. Williams can get tough yards inside despite lacking ideal size, a point illustrated by his 29 rushing TDs over the last two years. Was also coached by Tampa head coach Jon Gruden in the Senior Bowl.
A good cover man who will also contribute as a kick returner, Jones has very good closing speed and is a willing tackler in run support. That may be his most important quality with the NFL hurting pass defenses by focusing on downfield infractions by defensive backs.
A fiery, intense player who always goes all-out, Cody is similar to former NFL standout Kevin Greene in his ability to play on his feet as an outside linebacker, or in a three-point stance as a defensive end.
Perhaps the most complete back in the draft, Brown can carry or catch the ball with equal skill. He has size, instincts and quickness that allowed him to put up excellent numbers at the college level.
Williams did not play in 2004 but dominated the college game for two seasons while at USC. His 6-foot-5, 230-pound frame gives him a big advantage over defensive backs, and he has excellent hands. Would be a great help in the development of quarterback Patrick Ramsey and help take some pressure off Clinton Portis in the running game.
Spears boosted his stock immensely with an outstanding performance at the Senior Bowl. He showcased his speed, strength and athleticism against some of the best offensive linemen in the nation, and his size would make him a welcome addition for a team that needs to boost its pass rush.
Spends a lot of time in opposing backfields after collapsing the pocket or gaining penetration against the run. Came on strong and raised his stock significantly during his senior year.
Has the speed and strength to chase ballcarriers from sideline to sideline and make things happen when he gets to the ball.
Perhaps the fastest wideout in the draft, Williamson would be a nice complement to budding superstar and physical wideout Andre Johnson.
With light feet for a player his size, Barron is a consistent blocker who is equally adept in both the pass and run games.
A workout warrior who would help shore up a defensive line that had trouble pressuring the quarterback last season. Expect Kansas City to commit nearly its entire draft to the defensive side of the ball.
A complete safety who excels in coverage and is more than adequate in run support, Pool has excellent size, covers a lot of ground and shows good anticipation in diagnosing plays.
A big-play wideout who averaged 20.0 yards per catch last season, White's combination of size and speed is in the elite category.
A versatile lineman who can play end or tackle, and was a leader on the nation's best rush defense..
Has to answer questions about his durability, but when healthy, James was a force along the line who commanded double-team blocks on a regular basis.
A good cover man who did not see a lot of balls thrown his way in 2004, Rolle was still a force in run support and is adept at blitzing off the corner.
Another player who raised his stock at the Senior Bowl, where he answered questions about a wrist injury that sidelined him for the final six games of 2004. Excellent in both run and pass blocking and earned the respect of Iowa DE Matt Roth at the Senior Bowl, with Roth calling Barnes the best tackle he faced all season.
Has excellent speed and is one of the best in years at running after the catch, making Clayton a big-play threat who would give young QB Kyle Boller another option on the outside.
A tremendous natural pass rusher who has fire and intensity, Roth's outstanding consistency this season helped raise his stock.
A punishing tackler who played safety in college, Davis has the size and speed to become a force in the front seven at the pro level.
Needs to add a little bulk to his frame, but his quickness would give a boost to a Denver pass rush that was lackluster in 2004.
A physical player who is an asset in run support and also has the speed to be an outstanding cover man. Rogers was the best player on a very good Auburn defense thanks to his consistency and durability.
With his good size and speed, Browner is a consistent cover man who would be a nice complement to last year's top pick, fellow CB D'Angelo Hall.
A speedy guy who would round out a receiving corps bolstered this season by the addition of Keenan McCardell and the emergence of TE Antonio Gates. Parrish would also be an asset in the return game.
His combination of size, strength and athleticism make Hawthorne an ideal 4-3 defensive tackle. He knows how to handle double-team blocks and can create lost-yardage plays.
A tremendous pass receiver and a willing blocker along the line, Miller would give young quarterback Ben Roethlisberger another weapon to complement his wide receivers and also be a help to the Pittsburgh running game.
Has excellent size and hands and gained plenty of attention with a good Senior Bowl showing. Would be a nice addition to a receiving corps led by Terrell Owens.
Crowder immediately became one of the best linebackers in college after setting foot on campus. He has all the skills and instincts to be a tremendous middle linebacker at the next level.
The players below are on the very fringe of the first round and depending on how things shake down some, all or none of them could ultimately end up being taken off the board in the first 31 selections:
I still think the Mets should have inked Bottalico if it cost less than a million dollars.
"The big question for everyone is middle relief," Jeff Wilpon acknowledged. "But Omar and Jim [general manager Minaya and senior vice president Duquette] are very confident they'll be able to fill that need. Either somebody is going to step up, or they'll be able to fill that need.
"The ultimate goal is to win, and the ultimate goal is to do it the right way," Wilpon said. "It's great to get free agents. We want to build the farm system ... You have to be able to have the David Wrights and Jose Reyeses to win. You can't fill every spot by going out and getting a free agent."
Any farm building is just going to have to wait until the 2006 draft with only one early pick this draft.
Miami-based agent Joe Cubas has been suspended by the union because the MLBPA concluded he withheld immigration papers that would allow Soler to complete the visa process and enter the United States, an executive said
He DEFINITELY needs to get to work with the Mets. They gave him a Major League contract and by him not showing up to spring training on time would only further delay his arrival and just waste money. Are agents really necessary?
"When the facts come out it will be proven this book is full of errors and, if anything, it will end up on the best-selling fiction list."
15 Comments:
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