A blog dedicated to the New York Mets with some other baseball thrown in.

Tuesday, July 25, 2006

Odd Man Out?

The Mets problem is that they have run out of time before they properly looked at all in house options. For the time being, they are running with a six man rotation for at least one go around as the trade deadline closes in. With seven days left, Omar needs to figure out what he has in house and what he can realistically add from other teams in the league.

The White Sox are no longer interested in trading for a reliever as they acquired Mike MacDougal from the Royals and outside of a Barry Zito rumor, not much is going on in terms of impact players. The Mets have inquired about Cory Lidle, Rodrigo Lopez, and Jon Leiber, but I think we can all agree that a pitcher of their ilk is not the answer.
Pitcher        7+   7   6+    6   5 or more  less than 5
John Maine 1 0 0 1 1 1
Mike Pelfrey 0 0 0 1 1 1
Steve Trachsel 0 2 1 9 4 4
Tom Glavine 2 5 3 6 4 1
Pedro Martinez 1 8 1 3 2 1
El Duque 1 4 0 1 1 3
The Mets have six starters and there seems to be a large gap between the first two and the last four. El Duque was an intriguing guy that Omar picked up, but he has been inconsistent. He is second on the team with three outings less than five innings (one was rain shortened, but he was not having a sharp game anyway) in only ten starts. One Met starter has not made it through at least two innings in every start that did not get injured and that pitcher is Orlando Hernandez and he has done it twice. In a span of six games, he did not make it out of the second inning twice but completed seven innnigs in the other four.

His 4.80 ERA, 8.94 H/9, 7.79 K/9, 1.33 WHIP, and 2.98 BB/9 are really not bad for what he is expected to bring at the back end of the rotation and he obviously has the ability to put up an impressive start quite frequently. In his other eight starts in which he made it out of the second inning, he has a 3.18 ERA, 7.59 H/9, 7.59 K/9, 1.14 WHIP, and a 2.65 BB/9. Throw in the fact he has a 2.55 career playoff ERA in 106 innings with a 9-3 record, his veteran presence is off the charts in the Mets eyes and the Mets will be keeping him in the mix. The problem is, he is older. Eventually his playoff magic will allude him. He was spectacular in relief for the White Sox in the ALDS last year, but walked four in one inning in the World Series. I do I like El Duque because of what he can bring.

That brings us to Steve Trachsel who leads the team in starts less than five innings and has failed to go at least five in 20% of his starts. Trachsel has started twenty games this year and has not pitched an outing in which he blanked his opponents. He has given up at least one run each time out, at least three runs on eleven occasions, and at least four runs on eight occasions. His line of a 5.14 ERA, 10.36 H/9, 4.24 K/9, 1.63 WHIP, and 4.32 BB/9 is just horrendous. The Mets simply are not in a position to toy around with him for the year at the expense of not finding out what they actually have.

If a trade does not alleviate the log jam of mediocrity for the Mets, Maine or Pelfrey will likely be moved into the bullpen or down to AAA. I do think the Mets are wrongly married to the idea of Trachsel in the rotation as Steve really has not pitched well all year. His ERA was under 4.00 for exactly three starts. It has been under 4.50 for only five starts of twenty. John Maine and Mike Pelfrey at least represent upside. Getting them in the mix for the remainder in the year could produce a product far more helpful than Steve Trachsel. In fact, if you are worried about big league post-season experience, Trachsel has as much as Maine and Pelfrey. You never like to turn your back on a player who has been solid and loyal to you team in the past, but it is hard to please everyone and put the best team on the field. If Maine and Pelfrey keep showing the Mets something in their next start or two and Trachsel continues to look horrible, Omar has to make the tough decision.

* * *

  • Kenny Williams pulled off an impressive trade for Mike MacDougal to fortify his bullpen.

    General manger Ken Williams fortified the White Sox's bullpen Monday by acquiring flame-throwing Mike MacDougal from the Royals for two pitching prospects but said he was unwilling to deal any of his major-leaguers for a high-prized talent such as Nationals outfielder Alfonso Soriano.

    That includes pitcher Brandon McCarthy, whose name has surfaced in trade reports.


    Lumson appears to be decent prospect, but none are either to lose sleep over if sent packing as they were.

    "We're at a certain level, a certain mode of operation that I'd make no apologies for," Williams said. "We are who we are, and who we're about is trying to win a championship."

    Somehow I think if the Mets went after him, at 23 year old with decent numbers at AA and a decent pitching prospect from A-ball would not have gotten it done. I guess that is just the roadblocks that Omar will always face when trying to make deals.

  • This just never gets old.

  • Larry Brooks wants Omar to go for it.

    Trading is always a risk-reward business. Sacrificing Lastings Milledge, a 21-year-old mercurial talent, for a potential rental acquisition, Barry Zito, is a risk not worth taking if the reward is a possible wild-card berth or a chance at a division title.

    It is, however, worth taking when the reward is winning the World Series.


    Winning the World Series can obviously not be guaranteed and that is the problem. Nothing can guarantee a World Series. Not even a $200 million payroll, but Omar is in a tough spot. He has a great chance to win it all this year and truly appears one good starting pitcher away, but he also has a team that is poised to be in it to win it for a long time after this season. If the trade that Brooks proposed went down for Zito, it is entirely possible the Mets lose Zito after this season ends and loses Milledge. Not only can they lose both, the team that signs him most likely be a team drafting in the 2nd half of the 1st round. That means Omar could get Zito, not win the World Series, lose him in the off-season, Milledge would be in Oakland, and the Mets would only have a sandwich pick and a late second round pick to show for it. Worst case scenario? Yes. Possible? Entirely. The Mets would most likely be forced to keep Zito and overpay for his services, but you never know what can happen when the Yankees are involved in the chase for Zito as many suspect.

  • Harold Reynolds has been fired from ESPN's Baseball Tonight. He will forever be remembered for calling a player a "fresh of breath air" a few years back and will be missed.

    "We are not going to comment," ESPN VP Josh Krulewitz said.

    Insightful.

  • Fernando Martinez hits Baseball America's Prospect Hot Sheet and lands in the third spot.

    He misses more than a month with a sprained knee, and comes back to go 9-for-17 in his first four games to raise his season line to .345/.402/.514 in 148 at-bats. You can almost hear the Mets fans singing, "I remember long ago another starry night like this, in the firelight Fernando." Well, maybe not. But it would be funny if you could.

    Victor Diaz makes his first appearance of the year in the weekly Baseball America piece, but not in the way he wanted I'm sure. Diaz landed on the Not-So-Hot portion of the article.

    Victor Diaz, of, Mets (Triple-A Norfolk)
    Technically no longer a prospect because he has too many big league at-bats, but we just wanted to point out the fact that he is 8-for-58 in July. But hey, at least he has no home runs.


  • Dayn Perry finally updated his picture on his column and armed with a few more pounds, he lists his five trades that need to happen.

    1. OF Bobby Abreu to the Yankees

    Yes, it would certainly help them and just make their ability to get on base otherworldly.

    2. SS Julio Lugo to the Rockies

    Barmes helped me win my fantasy baseball league last year with some crazy months, but this year? Not so much. Lugo is a beast this season and the Rockies have some decent talent to deal from in their farm system including an enigmatic starter in Juan Morillo who has reportedly been clocked at 102 mph.

    3. OF Jacque Jones to the A's

    Beane is always in the tough position of winning today but being mindful of the future. He never wants to do a typical rebuilding and is always in the hunt and wants to keep it that way.

    4. OF Alfonso Soriano to the Angels

    The Angels need a Soriano like Balls Deep needs a legitimate closer and a complete game.

    5. SP Paul Byrd to the Mets

    Interesting, but Byrd is not putting this team over the hump.

  • BroDuca is playing through some pain.

    "It doesn't matter if I rest," Lo Duca said. "It's not going to do me any good. That's not an issue. I'll get it taken care of at the end of the year."

    It sounds like he is alluding to surgery to correct the problem, but I'm sure playing less will help alleviate the pain, no?

  • Brian Bannister might actually start again in 2006. However, I will believe it when I see the box score.

    Brian Bannister, who hurt his right hamstring on April 26, threw a side session yesterday in Florida. The rookie righty is expected to start a rehab assignment tomorrow with Class A St. Lucie.

  • Carlos Beltran is good.

    Carlos Beltran drove in his 80th run, setting a franchise record for center fielders. Lee Mazzilli and Brian McRae had 79 RBI.


  • Norfolk got destroyed by Ottawa 15-5. Lastings Milledge went 2 for 5 with a run socred, a double, and two RBIs and Ruben Gotay went 2 for 4 with a run scored.

    Binghamton beat New Hampshire 7-5 and Carlos Gomez remains on fire. Gomez now has his average up to .274 after a 3 for 5 game with two runs scored, a double, a triple, and three RBIs. I wonder if his July surge has raised his value? Michel Abreu continues to just rake and went 3 for 5 with two runs scored, a double, and an RBI.

    St. Lucie beat Sarasota 3-2 behind a seven inning performance by Phil Humber. Humber gave up two hits, one earned run on one homer, two walks, and struck out four as he lowered his ERA to 2.73 and raised his record to 3-1 with St. Lucie. Mike Carp was 1 for 3 with his ninth homerun of the year.

    Hagerstown beat Kannapolis 13-1 behind another great outing by Delois Guerra. Deolis went six innings and gave up five hits, one run, and no walks while striking out two to lower his ERA to 2.69 and up his record to 4-6.

    John Holdzkom finally pitched a shut out inning and picked up his second save of the year in the GCL Mets win over the GCL Marlins.

  • 25 Comments:

    Blogger oSSyCoCoTaSo said...

    fuck dayn perry

    the yankees just got their asses handed to them by the bluejays and his ass has them above the mets? they dont get that much props from me with that lil stretch they had after the break bc the mariners suck and the white sox are the un-A's (second half choke artists)

    he's an idiot

    1:00 PM

     
    Blogger oSSyCoCoTaSo said...

    im refering to his power rankings

    1:03 PM

     
    Anonymous David said...

    damn, I'm gonna miss H.R. him and Kruk are the best

    1:08 PM

     
    Blogger mr. met said...

    I'd rather not fuck mr. perry.

    However, the strength of the league taken into the account the Mets getting bashed by the AL East, I cannot say the Mets are in the top four teams of the bigs. Tigers/White Sox/Red Sox are in the mix for #1 and the Yankees are certainly arguably better than the Mets at least in AL parks. The Mets have the edge in NL parks. They are close, but the Mets are one good starter away from leap frogging everyone. If the Mets have Zito, they are the #1 team in the league. Right now, they are good offense team with good bullpen and a shaky rotation.

    1:10 PM

     
    Blogger mr. met said...

    Harrold always amused me. He might not have been the most insightful, but he was entertaining. As for Kruk? He has feces lodged between both ears.

    1:11 PM

     
    Blogger BookieD said...

    Harrold has been a BBTN staple for a while. I agree that I never loved him for his analysis, but he had a pleasant demeanor and didn't rely on schtick, the way many ESPN personalities do.

    Does anyone else think that John Kruk bears a striking resemblance to multi-platinum recording artist, Meatloaf? I mean the way Meatloaf looks today, not during the Bat Out of Hell years. For anyone who missed it, Mr. Loaf appeared on the telecast Mets-Astros telecast this past Saturday afternoon on FOX. He is evidently, a roto baseball fanatic.

    1:43 PM

     
    Blogger mr. met said...

    Kruk = Meatloaf with a little less in his loaf. He he lose both of his bits or just one?

    1:49 PM

     
    Anonymous Robb said...

    It is amazing how much better the Met pitching depth for the future feels with Humber dealling again. On the bright side anyone else feel that if Maine is a legit 3rd or fourth starter that, Maine, and the Cuban is a pretty good trade for Benson's wife and about 3 mill off the books, salaries adjusted....

    Think on Pedro, glavine, Zito, Maine/Pelfey/Humber as the mets starters next year, w/ the duke as a sixth or long man by middle of year. Also jusdging by outfield productiont his year if floyd has a good second half we could get the draft picks we lose for Zito back when another team, (Tigers anyone) signs him this off season and Milledge takes over....

    Also Omar seems to ahve done a kick ass job with the international market so far, getting Pena's kid for 1.25 less than the yankees paid some kid seems like a steal too

    2:02 PM

     
    Blogger mr. met said...

    This is about the third time this season I've felt OK with the rotation. The first two times I regressed into panic mode. Hopefully this time is the real deal.

    I'd like to see Humber at AA to see what he can do. He is doing spectacular in St. Lucie and much better than last year. But, I don't think he has a shot to start '07 as one of the Mets original five, but later in the year is definitely in play.

    If Floyd kills it in the end, We might be able to steal a draft pick. That would be amazing. The Mets have not had a compensation pick since David Wright in '02.

    The Yankees paid $2,000,000 for that kid....not $1.25. The $750,000 to Pena looks ridiculous right now.

    2:32 PM

     
    Blogger Anthony said...

    Right-hander Kris Benson will have a shot to break a month-long slump in which he's been tagged for 20 runs (18 earned) and four straight losses. The Orioles starter allowed five runs on nine hits -- three of them homers -- against Oakland on Wednesday, while working six innings. He has a 7.04 ERA in July this season, managing just one quality start out of four, while struggling a bit with his offspeed pitches. -Orioles Website

    Now that's the Kris Benson we all know and can't stand! Makes me feel better seeing that. He's currently 9-9 with an era hovering around 5. Good stuff.

    And how about Jae Seo? He's really kicked it this year hasn't he? Traded down to Tampa! Loser!
    OK, sorry for that sudden rant, it just comes out every now and then to all the people that completely went off about those two trades. Especially Seo for Dirty.

    I've been thinking about the Zito-Milledge thing. I'm with Benny. Fuck it. Let's go for it all this year. How many times do you legitimately have a chance to actually win IT ALL?! What if shit goes down next year (ie:people get hurt, whatever) and the Mets aren't in the same position. We'd all be kicking ourselves forever for not going for it this year. I say lay all the cards out on the table and go for it. Pedro, Glavine, Zito (with Duque, Pelf, Maine in the wings), powerhouse offense, solid bullpen, all or nothing this year. Worst case, we take a hell of a ride along the way. We will have Zito next year if Omar wants him. We can pay the money and Zito wants to pitch in NY for Peterson. We can find a left fielder. Go for it all this year. Let's at least really try to win a championship.

    And with Trachsel, I'm with you Mike. I can't take it anymore. He blows. He's not swell and he's just about to the point where he's almost dead to me.

    4:07 PM

     
    Blogger mr. met said...

    Traxx almost dead to you? Say it ain't so. He means well.

    5:05 PM

     
    Blogger Paladin said...

    No more H.R.?!?

    But who will do all those Little League W.S games? Who will give me all that useful insider info on how to turn a double play? Who will I turn to in order to hear my daily dose of candy coated MLB ongoings?

    Who?

    WHO, I TELL YOU, WHO?!?

    Damn you Kruk... damn you to hell...

    7:08 PM

     
    Blogger Anthony said...

    I know, that's why I said "almost". I know he's trying and has been a good soldier along the way. But geez!

    7:13 PM

     
    Blogger Paladin said...

    You gotta be kidding me. Fucking game just started!

    This is the CUBS FOR FUCK'S SAKE!!!

    Lowest OBP in baseball, lowest run totals in baseball, one of the lowest (if not THE lowest) in HR totals, and yet the Met's make them look like Murderer's Row.

    I never liked this rotation, maybe more than most Mets fans out there. But this is SOOOOOOO much worse then I had ever imagined. This team is so fucked down the stretch. What a disaster.

    7:29 PM

     
    Blogger Paladin said...

    Offense really getting it done consistently for quite some time now. Shame this rotation can't hold a lead for shit.

    Let's see how long it takes Glavine to give this one up.

    7:54 PM

     
    Blogger Paladin said...

    Ahhhh...

    There it is.

    Unbelievable.

    Disgraceful.

    Simply uncalled for.

    Oh well. I HONESTLY didn't think this was a World Series winner at the beginning of this season simply because of this incredibly weak rotation. But this... this leaves me speechless.

    8:15 PM

     
    Blogger mr. met said...

    I'm thinking about cutting Glavine from my fantasty team. Man o' man, I've stayed away from getting on him because he had been so good, but he is really bad right now. He looks like he cannot throw anything past a kid in the GCL. Getting hit hard by everyone...including Henry Blanco.

    8:20 PM

     
    Blogger Paladin said...

    AAAAAAAAAAAAAAHHHHHHHHHHHHHHH!

    Oh, man! What a nightmare I just had.

    I dreamt that the lowest scoring team in baseball just scored 16 runs in two games against one of the "elite" teams in the NL... and they were still going in the second game!

    Wow. Good thing it was just a dream...

    ...or was it...

    9:10 PM

     
    Blogger mr. met said...

    that was classic. I stopped watching the game after the cubs went up 6-4. Fucking ugly game.

    10:12 PM

     
    Anonymous fuck dayn perry said...

    fuck dayn perry

    10:23 PM

     
    Blogger Condor Schmitt said...

    fuck dayn perry

    fuck A-Rod

    fuck the Yankees

    The more pain these three feel the more happiness I feel.

    H.R. and Gammons were the reason that show was worth watching. Tino Martinez is bland, other former players are BOOOOOOOOOOOOOring and then there is that other guy who is dead to some and never really existed to others.

    So after the Cubs debacle we still dont want to trade for a starter? Looks like we will crawl into the playoffs and get blown out in the NLDS!!!! 3-0....oh, damn!

    10:38 PM

     
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