Postseason Odds

Here are the newest Postseason Odds from Baseball Prospectus.

Average wins by position in NL East: 95.7 80.8 76.5 73.0 68.7

NL East    W  L Pct3  Avg W  Avg L Champions Wild Card Playoffs
Mets      51 34 .546   95.7   66.3  98.14559    .52898 98.67457
Phillies  38 46 .446   74.7   87.3    .39386   1.49210  1.88596
Braves    38 48 .471   76.1   85.9    .57064   2.56050  3.13114
Nationals 38 49 .444   72.8   89.2    .14393    .60725   .75118
Marlins   36 46 .470   75.6   86.4    .74599   2.31630  3.06229

Ummm....yeah. Just chew on that for a second. It is delectable. You cannot find a team with better playoff odds. In fact, the closest team is about 30% away. I think the Wilpons can feel safe printing playoff tickets.

* * *

Rob Neyer throws out some love for Señor Perfeción.

Webb Ctiy MO: who is the first half nl mvp

Rob Neyer: "Albert Pujols" is the easy answer, and perhaps the right one. But I'd take a long look at Carlos Beltran, too. He's played more than Pujols, and of course he's a great deal more valuable in the field and on the bases.

But the question of the day goes to...

Rob (Chicago): Who cares about Pittsburgh, K.C., Tampa Bay. I've asked a few questions about the WORLD SERIES CHAMPION WHITE SOX and still can't get my questions answered....Hey ROB, you SUCK! Post that!

Rob Neyer: Okay. But that's not much of a question.

Matt is smoking too much of that medical marijuana in Cali...

Matt (San Bruno, Ca): The Braves WILL be back. Trust me.

Rob Neyer: Sorry, but I find your argument less than completely convincing. Mazzone's gone, and Cox and Schuerholz won't be there much longer. Do you think there's something magical elixir in the Atlanta water supply that creates a winning team no matter who's in charge? The Braves do have a number of talented young players, and I certainly expect them to compete for division titles over the next few seasons. But the Mets are the Mets, the Phillies have a huge market to themselves, and the Marlins are loaded with young talent.

Let it go Braves fans. Let it go.

Prediction....Mike Pelfrey wins today. My prediction that Jose Lima would win last night did not work out so well, but this one will.

Sounds like Aaron has some issues going on in his head.

It does not matter where he pitches, he's filthy.

he 27-year-old rookie relieved Darren Oliver and froze Alfredo Amezaga with a 96 mph fastball at the knees. Owens then got Hanley Ramirez to line out and Dan Uggla to ground out to short in a surprisingly crisp debut.

"It was very exciting to get out there for the first time," Owens said. "I felt more comfortable than I thought I was going to. I went out there and took a deep breath and tried to keep my emotions under control. I think I did that."

Not very surprisingly, Jose Lima sucked last night and did not make it out of the fourth. He have up a grand slam to Dontrelle Willis and I don't care who goes down, he should never pitch again for the Mets.

"Sometimes baseball puts you on a test," Lima said. "I'm not quitting. That's one thing. Trust me. Nobody is going to take that jersey away from me. I don't care if I have to die on the field."

Quit. It's for the best.