A blog dedicated to the New York Mets with some other baseball thrown in.

Sunday, March 11, 2007

D-Day

Yes, it is that time of the year again. It's draft day for The Metropolitans fantasy baseball league and thanks once again to Benny for running with the entire thing and for not using two catchers. We all make mistakes Benny and you have been forgiven for yours. I personally have done no prep and my draft should be an interesting one to say the least. For those of you who have not done much prep either, I have a hot tips for you. David Ortiz can produce, plant your corn early, Albert Pujols is a monster, don't eat the brown acid, Johan Santana is luscious, Francisco Liriano is not a smart pick, chicks with an Adam's apple are not actually girls, and Billy Wagner can pitch.


I'll be there 6:45 with some PBRs, tons of self loathe, and a draft theory that has to work one of these days.

* * *

  • The name of the game is progress and Oliver Perez is certainly doing that. With Maine looking sharp, Perez shaping up, and Pelfrey looking like he is ready, my optimism for this rotation is still high. Throw into that better than expected action from Jason Vargas and Pedro's rehab coming along well and I think everyone's fears should be a bit assuaged.

  • Beltran thought Wainwright's hook was a ball and really, how can you not? There are still some people blaming Beltran, but that Curve is just one of those pitches that if thrown right, it's impossible to hit much like a Kazmir slider that nicks the front outside corner of the plate to lefties or a Rivera cutter on the inside corner. Not enough credit is given in New York to Wainwright who strapped a set on and dropped the only pitch that would have gotten the Mets best hitter with the best eye out. The real blame if you felt the need to place any? Willie.

    Manager Willie Randolph may have made a mistake not bunting the two runners over. He continues to insist the inning unfolded perfectly, as Beltran had the chance to win the game. But one NL scout said a two-on, no-out bunt was in order precisely because Wainwright was so nervous.

    "He's already panicking, now he picks up the bunt and there's a good chance he throws the ball away," the scout said. "By not bunting, it takes the pressure off [Wainwright]."

    Indeed, Wainwright recovered to strike out Cliff Floyd with the curveball, and nearly did the same to Jose Reyes.


    Instead of three chances to knock that tying run in, Willie chose to give one of those outs away for a two chances at the win. Willie has some learning to do and hopefully he makes mental notes of these mistakes. It would have been more acceptable if a lighter bat was up, but Cliff has the ability to rake and it bears noting that I've seen him take wicked curveballs from Roy Oswalt out of the park.

  • First we heard about Wright being offered for Jose Cruz Jr. and now this?

    An official who was involved in the discussions that led to that Dec. 11, 2001 deal said that one of the players the Mets made available to Cleveland was a Low-A shortstop named Jose Reyes. The official said the Indians liked Reyes, but simply did not have enough information from their South Atlantic League scouts to make an 18-year-old with just two pro seasons the key player in the deal rather than Alex Escobar.

    I am extremely glad their organizational philosophy has changed.

  • Joel Sherman sees the Mets possibly on the cusp of something big.

  • Joel Sherman thinks batting right 2nd would behoove the Mets.

    A power-hitting No. 2 batter is so attractive. An opposing pitcher must worry about Reyes' speed when he is on base and not walking the No. 2 hitter in front of elite RBI men Beltran, Delgado and Alou. Thus, the Mets' No. 2 batter can expect plenty of fastballs to try to negate Reyes' speed, and fewer filthy sliders late in the count to attempt to avoid walks.

    When Alou bats, this certainly has it merits and Wright could be put up big, big, big, big numbers batting in front of the Los squared.

  • Spring numbers should be taken with a grain of salt, but Ben Johnson certainly looking great.

  • Bill Madden thinks the Mets should trade Duaner when they can. I say that is silly. Middle relievers just do not bring that much back via trades at this point in the year and Duaner now has some bad press out there about him. They certainly could not extract what he is actually worth from people and he just needs to be monitored more and they need to nip things in the butt before they get bad. What they did this spring was right and they need to take a hard line approach with him. It does worry me that the Mets two main set-up men have some issues, but the Mets are heavily depending on these guys and need to gamble that they will step up.

  • Again...big year for Sheffield. He's mad and this should tell you exactly how mad.

    “Boston was my first choice,” Sheffield said yesterday before his new team, the Detroit Tigers, lost, 7-6, to the Red Sox in Grapefruit League play. “But things happen for a reason. Sometimes you don’t get to go where you wanted to go.”
  • Labels:

    16 Comments:

    Anonymous benny said...

    Wainwright was REAL nervous. I give Wainwright ALOT of credit for going in there and making that pitch, it was just ballsy. It was so obvious he was scared to be out there at Shea Stadium trying to close out Game 7 of the NLCS. It just didn't work out the way I thought it would. To bunt, not to bunt, it all doesn't matter now, but shit, i really thought Floyd was going to bomb the shit out of one of his pitches. I swore it was going to happen, it had to happen, it was perfect.

    Wright, Lo Duca. Lo Duca, Wright, it doesn't matter really. Lo Duca is best "utilized" by being in the 2nd spot and its good to have Wright in the 5th but in the end it really doesn't matter. Although I would prefer to have Lo Duca in the bottom. But again, it just doesn't really matter.

    Bill Madden is a fucking idiot.
    Steve Phillips is also a fucking idiot. Whether he's running a baseball team or giving his opinion on ESPN, he's a dumbass.

    When isn't Gary Sheffield pissed off? He's the greatest, some times he sounds really stupid but he keeps it real and he's honost. I like that about him, he's no bitch.

    And I'm going to kick ass and dominate this year again. Flags fly forever and I already have a 1st place finish to my name. I'm the fucking man.

    11:33 AM

     
    Anonymous Anonymous said...

    Nice logging in early than late. I'm on holiday from Korea but don't know yet whether that will translate into seeing any games before I return April 17th. At least I can look forward to being home for the start of the season...Will

    11:38 AM

     
    Blogger mr. met said...

    I know..it's done, but Floyd could have a few chances at ripping one. Granted, it wasn't Floyd of '05, but you get the idea.

    I have a small part of my heart reserved for Sheffield to. I appreciate his tenacity and desire to perform. You know he cares, but yes, he comes off as a ass 90% of the time.

    Will in Korea? You are quite the world traveler my man. Hope all is well with you.

    12:16 PM

     
    Blogger bmc said...

    Daniel Cabrera cy young contender.

    You heard it here first.

    12:46 PM

     
    Blogger metdynasty said...

    hi guys, I am back.

    I check out your blog from time to time, Mike. I've enjoyed most of them. However, I have to say the stuff you wrote today about Willie's game 7 decision is plain crap, dude.

    Wainwright was nervous all right. We can all agree on that one.

    "By not bunting, it takes the pressure off [Wainwright]."

    How so? On the assumption that he might throw it away? You are kidding right? You are telling me that letting a nervous pitcher facing a power hitter settles him down more so than giving him a free bunt out? If you are assuming, why not assume Wainwright might throw Floyd a flat pitch or lose the strike zone and walk him? Shouldn't that be the more logical assumption for a nervous pitcher? If Wainwright was able to recover and strike out Floyd, how can you think he won't be able to field a bunt ball and throw it to 1st base? Isn't that much easier than striking out Floyd?

    "Instead of three chances to knock that tying run in, Willie chose to give one of those outs away for a two chances at the win"

    That's just absurd, dude. You are saying bunting means three chances to tie yet letting Floyd bat means two chances at the win. I can't belive that it was you who wrote this. If bunting really means three chances to tie, we will never see a batter hit again because everyone will be bunting from now on.

    "Indeed, Wainwright recovered to strike out Cliff Floyd with the curveball, and nearly did the same to Jose Reyes."

    Actually, Reyes hit a very solid line-drive but right at Edmonds. If it had been a little to the right, the game would've been tied.

    If you gonna rip Willie, at least be fair. Not on some crazy assumptions and twisted facts. Floyd, Reyes and Beltran all had a chance to win the game or tie with one base hit. It didn't happen, but was it Willie's fault? No way.

    One commond misunderstanding I found in baseball is that People always think that it's someone's fault when a team loses a game. Specially it's the manager's fault. The Mets won 103 games last season, please don't tell me that they won because the other teams fucked up. I like to think they won because they simply played better.

    One more thing for those of you who think that Tony is a better manager than Willie was the reason We lost NLCS last year, consider this: in 2004, the Cards were swept by the Redsox. Don't tell me that Francona is a better manager than La Russa. He isn't.

    4:08 PM

     
    Blogger Itsmetsforme said...

    i agree that responsibility ultimately lie with willie, if thats what you're saying. To me, the multiple goats--stash, poopeyface, buntran,farmboy, uncle cliff-- points to the fact that the ultimate blame if there is one is willie's.

    what gets me is willie blaming stash (see link):

    http://newyork.mets.mlb.com/news/article.jsp?ymd=20070216&content_id=1804847&vkey=spt2007news&fext=.jsp&c_id=nym

    4:24 PM

     
    Anonymous benny said...

    Metdynasty, Mike didn't say those things, your quoting the article from the Bergen Record written by Bob Klapisch and he was simply making the commentary that despite the fact that Willie has some learning to do he made the right call because it gave the Mets 3 chances to score and because Floyd is a monster at the plate.

    There is no one to blame for that loss. It was a team effort. The team lost the game. Nobody came through, not one player came through when they needed to.

    4:31 PM

     
    Blogger Itsmetsforme said...

    metdynasty i didnt see your post when i posted, but obviously, i'm backing the house here. what i mean about multiple goats is that there were multiple chances during the series to win, and willie failed to capitalize. There really isn't a timo-armando moment where I say damnit that guy blew it, but I think history will see willie's strategizing as the main culprit; the buck has to stop somewhere. Cliff Floyd's comments about his own readiness stand out in my mind as backing this perspective.

    in conclusion, steve phillips is a fucking idiot.

    4:42 PM

     
    Blogger mr. met said...

    metdynasty,

    Don't try and play it like managers do not matter. Just because a team beats another one (i.e. Francona over LaRussa...the Red Sox swept and destroyed them...a great manager vs. a bad one wouldn't have mattered....horrible, horrible, horrible example) doesn’t mean the manager on the winning side is better. That is patronizing for you to insinuate that is how I or a lot of other people feel. You may be a big Willie fan, but I happen to think he is eminently average at best and made the wrong call there. I think it was the wrong call and that is my opinion, which this blog is derived from coincidently, and to just come back and say you are flatly right while I'm flatly wrong is the most absurd of all. Besides, the Mets lost so the logic is not quite stacking up that Willie did make the right move.

    I have no problems with you saying you disagree, but I have a problem saying you are 100% right, which is essentially the point you are trying to convey. Ultimately this is not something I even talk or obsess about (though I enjoy taking digs at Willie when I can), but the article was noteworthy enough to talk about because I still talk to many people who blame Beltran. I think he is least of all to blame in that specific inning. He got owned by Wainwright and I have all the respect in the world for Wainwright in that instance. To me, that is the least of the argument. The majority of the argument comes in the form of did Willie make the right move? Maybe there was no chance in hell the Mets win regardless of what happens. Maybe Wainwright was going to be too good no matter what, which is possible. But at this point, Willie’s call can absolutely be argued.

    5:15 PM

     
    Blogger Coop said...

    Mike, i'll be there too at 6:45, just promise you guys will go easy on me. At least you have a method -- I'm kinda just going in and saying -- hey i saw this guy play once. Sounds good to me. LOL

    5:33 PM

     
    Blogger mr. met said...

    Coop,

    I have done NO prep. Benny gave me a pep talk and I'll be flying by the seat of my pants too. I just haven't had time. I haven't even watched a Mets game yet....how fucked up is that?

    Besides, I'll have no problems helping you out. Just ask....not that it would be a big help if I did give you advice.

    My IM is mineral207 on AOL should you need to bounce something off my brain.

    5:37 PM

     
    Anonymous D-D-D-D-D-D-D-DG said...

    Folks, far as I'm concerned 2006 is over. Could ofs, should ofs and what ifs are a great way to waste the present but ain't turning up any new directions except backwards.

    6:31 PM

     
    Blogger metdynasty said...

    Mike, I did not at anywhere in my original post say I am 100% right or implying it. My entire comment argues that your and the other NL scout's argument defies logic and I gave my reasons.

    I never implied that managers do not matter. In fact, I believe managers play a big role in the game. With the 2004 series example, I was trying to show the absurdity of blaming an entire series or even just one game on the manager and especially on his decision in one particular inning.
    There are a lot of people out there still believe that the Mets lost because Willie made the wrong move. If that logic is sound, then are they saying that LaRussa made all the wrong moves in 2004 against the redsox? So as you can see, my example there wasn't horrible at all.

    The problem here is that many fans have to find someone to blame for their team's loss. Usually the manager is their main target. I find this idea ridiculous because it implies that if everything is done correctly a team can actually win every single game.

    Now on judging whether a manager made the right or wrong move, I am a firm believer of not using a sigle outcome as an indicator. You can make a perfectly logical move yet still receive an undesirable outcome. So did Willie make the right move there? I can't say with absolute certainty. No one really can, although many wise guys would disagree. Willie's move there was certainly logical if you compare it with the alternative. Bunt and hit both have pros and cons. They are not two choices where one clearly favors the other. Willie made the gutsy choice and I supported it, even though I believe the biggest weakness of his move was the fact that Floyd couldn't run. However, it's naive to say he made the wrong move on the basis that the outcome wasn't what we desired. It's even more naive to exaggerate the benefit of the alternative and twist facts in order to show that he made a mistake and dump all the responsibility of the loss on him.

    7:01 PM

     
    Blogger mr. met said...

    I find this idea ridiculous because it implies that if everything is done correctly a team can actually win every single game.

    Not at all, but in this case, if you believed the opposite of what was done, it's hard to disprove or prove if it would have worked. I do not think by any means anyone is saying that would have 100% worked, but we know what didn't. Hence the entire basis of the argument.

    Also, you are mistaking the entire point of the blurb was that Beltran was far from the person to blame as many people like to believe it was his fault. If anyone, blame Willie and that's what I'm standing by. In sports, the captain goes down with the ship for better or for worse.

    Obviously we will not know how it would have worked out and like I said, maybe Wainwright was unbeatable no matter what happened, but the argument against Willie's decision has its merits.

    I don't think anyone is putting all the blame on him, but I see glaring holes in his managerial game and do think he costs the Mets wins rather than adds them. A bad manager can do harm to a team. I firmly believe that whereas a good manager can wrench a few more wins out. Is the difference appreciable? I don't thinks so and we'll never know, but baseball is a game in which one, two, three, four, or five games are huge. I think Willie does cost the Mets a game here and there and I think he did not do a good job overall in the playoffs. Horrible? Not even close. Great? Fuck no. I'd just like to look back at Torre back in '04 and how he cost the Yankees (I think it was a horrible display of managing) the series with his horrible use of the bullpen. I think where there is a slim margin for error, the manager can make all the difference.

    And no, there is no way for me to prove Willie was wrong or things would have turned out differently in any other scenario, but that's obvious. We'll never know but people will certainly talk about it.

    9:26 PM

     
    Blogger oSSyCoCoTaSo said...

    can i get in on this league and just totatlly rip everyone a new asshole? there is one way to win in fantasy baseball and i know it.

    but i think about it and i know i have no time. the best way to win is to draft lots of starters with whip of 1.25 or better and guys like crawfor and reyes who just fill up a box score in 8 million ways

    12:46 AM

     
    Anonymous benny said...

    easier said than done ossy, but then again with the guys in this league making all those panic moves, it's not impossible.

    6:44 AM

     

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